New research suggests that the actual number of COVID-19 deaths in India could be as much as 10 times the official count. An independent, non-government report released Tuesday estimates the number of deaths at between 3 to 4.7 million, from January 2020 to June 2021. India’s official government estimate of COVID-19 deaths is more than 414,000. But most health experts agree that the actual number is likely much higher. The new report estimates the number of “excess deaths” from the disease. This is generally defined as the difference between the number of observed deaths and the number of expected deaths during a specific period of time. The research was led by Arvind Subramanian, the Indian government’s former chief economic adviser. Researchers from the Center for Global Development -- a Washington-based think tank -- and Harvard University also helped produce the report. The researchers admitted that it will be difficult to get a completely correct death number in India. However, such a number “is likely to be an order of magnitude greater than the official count,” they said. The team said the official count likely missed deaths because of overcrowded hospitals and widespread failures in the country’s health system during a huge rise in cases earlier this year. “True deaths are likely to be in the several millions not hundreds of thousands,” the report said. The researchers said this makes the deaths “arguably India’s worst human tragedy since Partition and independence.” Partition was a process that divided the British-ruled Indian subcontinent into independent India and Pakistan in 1947. When independence came, up to 1 million people are believed to have been killed in ethnic violence involving Hindus and Muslims.
Title: New Research: India’s Actual COVID-19 Deaths Could Be in Millions
Content: <div id='article-page'><div id='article-content' data-media-url='//news-app-staging.s3.amazonaws.com' data-base-url='//news-app-staging.herokuapp.com' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/B.wav' data-capture-url='//staging.analytics.lingraphica.com/events/capture_news' data-article-title='New Research: Indias Actual COVID-19 Deaths Could Be in Millions' data-article-id='5801'><script src='//news-app-staging.herokuapp.com/javascripts/getscripts.js'></script><link rel='stylesheet' href='//news-app-staging.herokuapp.com/stylesheets/article.css' type='text/css' /><div class='article'><p><span data-start-time='0' data-end-time='14125'>New research suggests that the actual number of COVID-19 deaths in India could be as much as 10 times the official count.</span> <span data-start-time='14125' data-end-time='33854'>An independent, non-government report released Tuesday estimates the number of deaths at between 3 to 4.7 million, from January 2020 to June 2021.</span> <span data-start-time='33854' data-end-time='43750'>India’s official government estimate of COVID-19 deaths is more than 414,000. </span> <span data-start-time='43750' data-end-time='52146'>But most health experts agree that the actual number is likely much higher.</span> <span data-start-time='52146' data-end-time='59979'>The new report estimates the number of “excess deaths” from the disease. </span> <span data-start-time='59979' data-end-time='74833'>This is generally defined as the difference between the number of observed deaths and the number of expected deaths during a specific period of time.</span> <span data-start-time='74833' data-end-time='85396'>The research was led by Arvind Subramanian, the Indian government’s former chief economic adviser. </span> <span data-start-time='85396' data-end-time='98250'>Researchers from the Center for Global Development -- a Washington-based think tank -- and Harvard University also helped produce the report.</span> <span data-start-time='98250' data-end-time='108479'>The researchers admitted that it will be difficult to get a completely correct death number in India. </span> <span data-start-time='108479' data-end-time='119563'>However, such a number “is likely to be an order of magnitude greater than the official count,” they said.</span> <span data-start-time='119563' data-end-time='137604'>The team said the official count likely missed deaths because of overcrowded hospitals and widespread failures in the country’s health system during a huge rise in cases earlier this year.</span> <span data-start-time='137604' data-end-time='147792'>“True deaths are likely to be in the several millions not hundreds of thousands,” the report said.</span> <span data-start-time='147792' data-end-time='160708'>The researchers said this makes the deaths “arguably India’s worst human tragedy since Partition and independence.”</span> <span data-start-time='160708' data-end-time='174167'>Partition was a process that divided the British-ruled Indian subcontinent into independent India and Pakistan in 1947. </span> <span data-start-time='174167' data-end-time='186750'>When independence came, up to 1 million people are believed to have been killed in ethnic violence involving Hindus and Muslims.</span> </p></div><div class='control-buttons-sticky' style='display:none;'><div class='control-buttons'><button title='Back' class='back' disabled='disabled'></button><button title='Play' class='play' disabled='disabled'></button><button title='Pause' class='pause' style='display:none;'></button><button title='Forward' class='forward' disabled='disabled'></button><button class='finished-reading' style='display:none;'>Done</button></div></div></div><div id='article-media'><div id='media-image'><img src='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/B.jpeg'/></div></div><div id='question-content' style='display:none;'><div class='vocabulary_question question-container' data-question-id=17839 data-hint-location='52146' style='display:none;'><div class='question' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/what_is_an_excess.wav'>What is an excess?</div><div class='choices' data-correct-choice='an amount of something that is more than necessary, permitted, or desirable'><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/the_accomplishment_of_an_aim_or_purpose.wav'><span>the accomplishment of an aim or purpose</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/a_person_engaged_temporarily_to_fill_out_a_scene_in_a_movie.wav'><span>a person engaged temporarily to fill out a scene in a movie</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/an_amount_of_something_that_is_more_than_necessary_permitted_or_desirable.wav'><span>an amount of something that is more than necessary, permitted, or desirable</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/a_small_book_with_blank_or_ruled_pages_for_writing_notes_in.wav'><span>a small book with blank or ruled pages for writing notes in</span></div></div></div><div class='multiple_choice_question question-container' data-question-id=17840 data-hint-location='160708' style='display:none;'><div class='question' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/what_was_the_name_of_the_process_that_divided_the_britishrule_indiand_subcontinent_into_independent_india_and_pakistan_in_1947.wav'>What was the name of the process that divided the British-rule Indiand subcontinent into independent India and Pakistan in 1947?</div><div class='choices' data-correct-choice='Partition'><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/parkour.wav'><span>Parkour</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/partition.wav'><span>Partition</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/dependence.wav'><span>Dependence</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/indipak.wav'><span>IndiPak</span></div></div></div><div class='sentence_completion_question question-container' data-question-id=17841 data-hint-location='43750' style='display:none;'><div class='question' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/but_most_health_experts_agree_that_the_actual_number_is_likely_much__blank_.wav'>But most health experts agree that the actual number is likely much <span class='blank'>higher</span>.</div><div class='choices' data-correct-choice='higher'><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/bent.wav'><span>bent</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/hungrier.wav'><span>hungrier</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/livelier.wav'><span>livelier</span></div><div class='choice' data-sound-name='https://news-app-production.s3.amazonaws.com/articles/5218/higher.wav'><span>higher</span></div></div></div><div class='question-buttons'><button class='skip-button'></button><button class='hint-button'></button><button class='speak-button'></button></div></div></div>
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